| Jan 31, 2012 (89% of precincts reporting) |
| Mitt Romney | 727,886 | 46.7% |  |
| Newt Gingrich | 493,215 | 31.7% | |
| Rick Santorum | 206,906 | 13.3% | |
| Ron Paul | 108,489 | 7% | |
| Other | 20,687 | 1.3% | |
Tentative Delegate Allocation Results
Florida has 50 delegates (because they were penalized half their delegates for having an early primary under RNC rule 16). Because of the penalty, delegates are all at large and are allocated on a winner-take-all basis (per Florida rule 10).
Romney = 50
3 comments:
No surprise here - Romney and his friendly superPAC spent a ridiculous amount of money on negative ads, and he was aided by a series of sub-par performances by Gingrich in the debates.
I caught a clip of Romney late in the afternoon talking about how he had "fought back" against all sorts of negative ads, and I found my self thinking "BOOHOO, cry me a river you stinking @#$%^& so and so - YOU started them, and you and your supporters have spent more money on them than almost everyone else combined. And I'm supposed to feel sorry for you, like you've overcome something?" Please, Mitt. You can do better than that. Man up, instead of trying to feed us such an utter line of BS.
BTW, Albert, FOX claims Romney has over 80 delegates following Florida. (Although they also claim this puts him on the verge of winning the nomination, for whatever _that's_ worth.) You may want to check your numbers again ...
I couldn't find their breakdown, so I can't comment on over 80. Perhaps they are counting endorsements by unpledged delegates, but those are too volatile for me to bother with in my counts.
I do know that NYT has 71, and their count matches mine once I adjust for two methodological differences. They have 2 for Romney in SC (which I have as winnter-take-all for Gingrich) and 12 Romney in Iowa where my proportional representation gave him only 9.
In any case 80 or even 90 is less than 10% of 1144, so it's quite a stretch for them to call it "verge of winning."
That said, in 2008 Romney won ALL FOUR of the upcoming 4 contests (Nevada, Maine, Colorado, Minnesota), so I'm not sure I see a good path for Gingrich or the others. It is possible, even likely, that going into Super Tuesday Romney will have a good lead.
I do tend to agree with you on that analysis, Albert. Sans a surprise, we'll need to get ourselves wrapped around Romney's being the candidate.
Post a Comment