Preliminary Popular Vote Results
Romney = 96,488 (39.4%)
Paul = 56,105 (23.0%)
Huntsman = 41,370 (16.9%)
Gingrich = 23,158 (9.5%)
Santorum = 22,976 (9.4%)
Perry = 1,735 (0.7%)
Other = 2,821 (1.2%)
(293 out of 301 precincts reporting)
Tentative Delegate Allocation Results
New Hampshire has 12 at large delegates (because they were penalized half their delegates for having an early primary under RNC rule 16). Delegates are allocated proportionally to popular vote, subject to a 10% threshold.*
Romney = 7
Paul = 3
Huntsman = 2
Gingrich and Santorum missed the 10% cutoff.
(*) The NYT website makes reference to the 3 RNC delegates; not surprisingly the NYT is wrong. When RNC rule 16 is invoked to remove delegates, the ones removed are the RNC delegates and the Congressional District delegates. All remaining delegates are at large.
Observations
-- You may recall that NH has an open primary. Huntsman won the Democratic vote. Draw your own conclusion.
-- Paul came in second ... in the D primary as well as the R primary.
-- Paul won the independent vote and the under 30 vote (neither is a surprise). Romney won males and females, conservatives and moderates, Republicans, and the over 30 vote.
-- Perry is done. He barely beat Michelle Bachmann and Buddy Roemer. I predict a press conference in the morning.
-- In an unreported story, Obama got as little as 76% in some counties in the D primary. So much for energizing the base.
Tuesday, January 10, 2012
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1 comments:
I think Perry - and Gingrich - stays in through South Carolina. Both have much more time and effort put in there. If the results continue that lousy, we see both go away. I think the same may hold for Huntsman and Santorum, too, although they might hold out until Florida's results are in.
The only two right now I see with any long-term possibility in this race are Romney and Paul. And I'm not sure what this says about the race, overall.
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